Third Wave

Future Scenarios of

Here are your three descriptions of a future for your topic. Use them to broaden your horizon, discover dead angles in your outlook, and learn about different perspectives. These questions will help you reflect on the scenarios:

  • What surprises you? What is new for you?
  • What have you heard before? Where?
  • Which future do you find most plausible? Why?
  • Which future would you prefer? What could you do to make it more likely?

Scenario 1
What if in this future Montréal is a hyper-developed urban center, highly industrialized, completely post-automotive society like in Blade Runner, but privately owned and home to only a minuscule fraction of its current population? Its office towers lost their traditional role as workplaces, replaced with telecommuting and all knowledge work is conducted by advanced AI. Few live in the city full time: Montréal's dwellings have become de facto vacation homes for a global elite, who can afford stays by subletting or renting out their heritage dwellings for guaranteed returns through the Airbnb app. Too few people live in the city itself to justify most jobs there and those that do work are thus bound to contracts which forbid either mobility or income negotiation. Those who remain can afford lovely private apartments (renting), but there are too few spaces for everyone. House prices thus skyrocket. There are no jobs locally and thus no social problems, but transit between the city core, the airport, and the many waterfront condominiums where the elites live needs

Scenario 2
In this future Montréal is a hyper-developed urban center, highly industrialized like in Blade Runner but where it's all owned by the state. These are not homes owned by individuals but instead reside overtop vast underground warehouses and manufacturing lines. Every minimal space is used, but each dweller has a say: each home area contains a holographic polling desk where residents can give their opinion through the Delphi method about which direction to take the French-speaking Québécois metropolis. What emerges from these ongoing meetings of the minds? An accelerated transformation towards a cradle-to-cradle automated, post-automotive society, more abundant than ever. How could such an advanced city compare to its present condition? Montréal would become far more diversified and be less reliant on natural resources whose costs are rising each year, as well as become privately owned and thus lost to real estate speculation. It would become a city with ultra-low taxes, zero pollution, no traffic jams and an abundance of resources assembled

Scenario 3
It's the year 2030 and the city of Montréal is finally waking up after a long slumber. Structurally, everything has changed. Caught between the global warming crisis and a lack of private investment, the city is making a bold move. It's installing solar panels on every single building, even the tallest of buildings. Most of that energy is then stored in huge batteries - located inside almost every building - that can be used to power transportation, manufacturing, and even residential blocks. The AI powered city of tomorrow saves water, uses 100% free energy, and creates huge networks of connected vehicles. In cities, excessive property values can become traps. The public realm was dominated by cars, but in this future Montréal, it's the people who drive again. Streets are transformed: they are calmer and easier to cross, and sprinkled with benches, pocket parks and even beaches. Montréal becomes the world capital of electric bikes and scooters, the city where everyone can easily access an AI system (powered by advanced voice recognition

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Third Wave specialized in using foresight and futures thinking to orient yourself in a volatile and complex world. We create unique scenarios for your individual context and help you shape your own way through a time of massive uncertainty. Get in contact to learn more.

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